Lechia Zielona Góravs
Świt Skolwin
COMPLETEDPoland · II Liga - East · 9/5/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lechia Zielona Góra · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lechia Zielona Góra 1-4 Świt Skolwin
Original prediction
Lechia Zielona Góra
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.83 | 49.1% | 52.9% | 3.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.72 | 24.2% | 23.7% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 3.38 | 26.6% | 23.4% | -3.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.2–09%
- 3.1–19%
Predicted outcome
Lechia Zielona Góra
Probability
52.9%
Model confidence
52.9%
Lechia Zielona Góra has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60