Lechia Zielona Góravs
Ruch Chorzów
COMPLETEDPoland · Cup · 9/2/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lechia Zielona Góra · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lechia Zielona Góra 0-2 Ruch Chorzów
Original prediction
Lechia Zielona Góra
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.35 | 26.9% | 43.0% | 16.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 26.9% | 25.5% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 1.95 | 46.2% | 31.5% | -14.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
16.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.3–18%
Predicted outcome
Lechia Zielona Góra
Probability
43.0%
Model confidence
43.0%
Lechia Zielona Góra has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00