Lechia Zielona Góravs
Legia Warszawa II
COMPLETEDPoland · II Liga - East · 10/10/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lechia Zielona Góra · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lechia Zielona Góra 0-2 Legia Warszawa II
Original prediction
Lechia Zielona Góra
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.98 | 45.3% | 46.1% | 0.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.54 | 25.4% | 26.7% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 3.06 | 29.3% | 27.1% | -2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.2–010%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Lechia Zielona Góra
Probability
46.1%
Model confidence
46.1%
Lechia Zielona Góra has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 12 · GA 11 · avg 2.40/2.20