Lechia Zielona Góravs
Górnik Łęczna
COMPLETEDPoland · II Liga - East · 10/24/2026, 10:45:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Górnik Łęczna · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lechia Zielona Góra 0-6 Górnik Łęczna
Original prediction
Górnik Łęczna
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.84 | 31.7% | 33.0% | 1.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.43 | 26.2% | 26.3% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.13 | 42.1% | 40.8% | -1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.13 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Górnik Łęczna
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Górnik Łęczna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60