Lechia T. Mazowieckivs
Widzew II
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 1 · 10/18/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lechia T. Mazowiecki · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lechia T. Mazowiecki 1-1 Widzew II
Original prediction
Lechia T. Mazowiecki
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 8 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.35 | 38.2% | 43.1% | 4.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.59 | 25.0% | 25.8% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.43 | 36.8% | 31.1% | -5.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.59 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Lechia T. Mazowiecki
Probability
43.1%
Model confidence
43.1%
Lechia T. Mazowiecki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80