GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 11/12/2023, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Unia Skierniewice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Lechia T. Mazowiecki are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Unia Skierniewice are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Lechia T. Mazowiecki hold a 16.8-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 63.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.3% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Unia Skierniewice holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Unia Skierniewice

Probability

44.3%

Model confidence

44.3%

Unia Skierniewice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lechia T. MazowieckiLLDDW

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Unia SkierniewiceWDWWW

GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Lechia T. MazowieckiUnia Skierniewice
100.0Attack76.5
33.3Defence54.9
100.0Form63.7
80.3Power63.6
1.71xG2.12
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