Lechia T. Mazowieckivs
Troszyn
SCHEDULEDPoland · III Liga - Group 1 · 9/5/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Lechia T. Mazowiecki are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Troszyn are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Troszyn hold a 5.6-point power-rating edge (53.9 v 59.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the III Liga - Group 1, favouring a draw with 7.9% confidence, a 76% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
22.4%
Model confidence
7.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80