GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 11/26/2023, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Lechia T. Mazowiecki are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 4.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Lechia T. Mazowiecki hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 76.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.5% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

Probability

61.5%

Model confidence

61.5%

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lechia T. MazowieckiDLLLD

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWWDWW

GF 20 · GA 4 · avg 4.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Lechia T. MazowieckiPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
100.0Attack100.0
33.3Defence68.6
100.0Form74.5
80.3Power76.1
1.15xG2.43
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