Lechia T. Mazowieckivs
Jagiellonia II
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 1 · 8/8/2025, 5:23:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lechia T. Mazowiecki · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Lechia T. Mazowiecki are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Jagiellonia II are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Lechia T. Mazowiecki hold a 33.5-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 46.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.5% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Lechia T. Mazowiecki holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lechia T. Mazowiecki
Probability
53.5%
Model confidence
53.5%
Lechia T. Mazowiecki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 13 · avg 2.00/2.60
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00