Lechia T. Mazowieckivs
Jagiellonia II
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 1 · 4/5/2025, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lechia T. Mazowiecki · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Lechia T. Mazowiecki are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Jagiellonia II are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Lechia T. Mazowiecki hold a 33.5-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 46.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.5% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Lechia T. Mazowiecki holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lechia T. Mazowiecki
Probability
53.5%
Model confidence
53.5%
Lechia T. Mazowiecki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 9 · avg 2.80/1.80
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20