GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 4/5/2025, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lechia T. Mazowiecki · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Lechia T. Mazowiecki are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Jagiellonia II are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Lechia T. Mazowiecki hold a 33.5-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 46.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.5% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Lechia T. Mazowiecki holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lechia T. Mazowiecki

Probability

53.5%

Model confidence

53.5%

Lechia T. Mazowiecki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lechia T. MazowieckiLWDWW

GF 14 · GA 9 · avg 2.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Jagiellonia IILDLDD

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Lechia T. MazowieckiJagiellonia II
100.0Attack48.0
33.3Defence46.1
100.0Form44.1
80.3Power46.8
2.14xG1.27
View match centre →