GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 8/31/2025, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lechia T. Mazowiecki · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Lechia T. Mazowiecki are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Bełchatów are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Lechia T. Mazowiecki hold a 25.6-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.6% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Lechia T. Mazowiecki holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lechia T. Mazowiecki

Probability

42.6%

Model confidence

42.6%

Lechia T. Mazowiecki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lechia T. MazowieckiLWWDL

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
BełchatówLLWDD

GF 10 · GA 14 · avg 2.00/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Lechia T. MazowieckiBełchatów
100.0Attack56.9
33.3Defence52.0
100.0Form54.9
80.3Power54.7
1.87xG1.54
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