Lechia Gdanskvs
Pogoń Siedlce
COMPLETEDPoland · I Liga · 8/21/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pogoń Siedlce · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lechia Gdansk 1-0 Pogoń Siedlce
Original prediction
Pogoń Siedlce
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Pogoń Siedlce
Probability
38.7%
Model confidence
38.7%
Pogoń Siedlce has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Lechia GdanskLDLLD
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Pogoń SiedlceWDWLD
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Lechia GdanskPogoń Siedlce
22.2Attack44.4
11.1Defence44.4
11.1Form22.2
19.9Power40.2
1.31xG1.60