GGOALVIO

Poland · I Liga · 7/28/2023, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Motor Lublin · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Lechia Gdansk are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Motor Lublin are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Motor Lublin hold a 36.2-point power-rating edge (19.9 v 56.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.2% in the I Liga, while Motor Lublin holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Motor Lublin

Probability

50.2%

Model confidence

50.2%

Motor Lublin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lechia GdanskWDLLL

GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Motor LublinWWDDD

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 2/5
Lechia GdanskMotor Lublin
22.2Attack47.2
11.1Defence60.2
11.1Form55.6
19.9Power56.1
0.97xG1.68
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