Lechia Gdanskvs
Miedz Legnica
COMPLETEDPoland · I Liga · 9/13/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Miedz Legnica · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lechia Gdansk 2-1 Miedz Legnica
Original prediction
Miedz Legnica
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.46 | 37.0% | 30.7% | -6.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.55 | 25.6% | 26.7% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 2.44 | 37.3% | 42.7% | 5.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Miedz Legnica
Probability
42.7%
Model confidence
42.7%
Miedz Legnica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80