Lech Poznanvs
Jagiellonia
COMPLETEDPoland · Ekstraklasa · 9/3/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jagiellonia · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lech Poznan 2-1 Jagiellonia
Original prediction
Jagiellonia
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–010%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Jagiellonia
Probability
36.4%
Model confidence
36.4%
Jagiellonia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Lech PoznanWWWWW
GF 18 · GA 1 · avg 3.60/0.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
JagielloniaWDLWW
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Lech PoznanJagiellonia
33.3Attack50.0
83.3Defence83.3
66.7Form100.0
64.8Power83.3
1.19xG1.23