Lech Poznanvs
Genk
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 8/21/2025, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lech Poznan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Lech Poznan are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Genk are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Lech Poznan hold a 59.5-point power-rating edge (96.0 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.7% in the UEFA Europa League, while Lech Poznan holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lech Poznan
Probability
55.7%
Model confidence
55.7%
Lech Poznan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40