GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 8/20/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lech Poznan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Lech Poznan 7-0 FC Thun

Original prediction

Lech Poznan

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–111%
  2. 2.2–110%
  3. 3.2–08%

Predicted outcome

Lech Poznan

Probability

51.9%

Model confidence

51.9%

Lech Poznan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lech PoznanWWWWL

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
FC ThunWLLWL

GF 13 · GA 13 · avg 2.60/2.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Lech PoznanFC Thun
100.0Attack83.3
100.0Defence50.0
100.0Form50.0
96.0Power59.3
1.94xG1.20
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