Lech PoznanvsFC Thun

Lech Poznan are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while FC Thun are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Lech Poznan hold a 36.7-point power-rating edge (96.0 v 59.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.3% in the UEFA Europa League, while Lech Poznan holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.