Lech Poznań U19vs
Arka Gdynia U19
COMPLETEDPoland · Central Youth League · 9/19/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lech Poznań U19 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (11%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lech Poznań U19 5-2 Arka Gdynia U19
Original prediction
Lech Poznań U19
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.47 | 60.2% | 40.6% | -19.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.19 | 21.2% | 27.1% | 5.9 pts |
| Away | 4.75 | 18.7% | 32.4% | 13.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.47 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-19.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Lech Poznań U19
Probability
40.6%
Model confidence
40.6%
Lech Poznań U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00