Lech Poznań IIvs
Wda Świecie
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 2 · 10/14/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lech Poznań II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lech Poznań II 1-4 Wda Świecie
Original prediction
Lech Poznań II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 8 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.69 | 53.4% | 43.5% | -10.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.90 | 23.2% | 25.5% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 3.88 | 23.3% | 31.0% | 7.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Lech Poznań II
Probability
43.5%
Model confidence
43.5%
Lech Poznań II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20