Leccovs
Union Brescia
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 10/4/2026, 10:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Union Brescia · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Lecco 0-0 Union Brescia, with an exact score probability of 23%.
Prediction record
Final result
Lecco 2-2 Union Brescia
Original prediction
Union Brescia
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.07 | 22.4% | 25.7% | 3.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.26 | 28.0% | 31.5% | 3.5 pts |
| Away | 1.84 | 49.6% | 42.8% | -6.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.26 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.8 pts
Projected Score
Lecco 0–0 Union Brescia
Exact score probability: 23%
Predicted outcome
Union Brescia
Probability
42.8%
Model confidence
42.8%
Union Brescia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LeccoLDWWL
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Union BresciaDWDDW
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
LeccoUnion Brescia
16.7Attack43.0
83.3Defence78.9
50.0Form60.5
53.0Power62.2
0.59xG0.95