Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Triestina · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Lecco are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Triestina are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Triestina hold a 13.2-point power-rating edge (44.9 v 58.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.3% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Triestina holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Triestina
Probability
44.3%
Model confidence
44.3%
Triestina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60