Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Lecco are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Trento are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Trento hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (44.9 v 49.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.8% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
46.8%
Model confidence
46.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00