Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Lecco are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Renate are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 44.9 against 45.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.7% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
43.7%
Model confidence
43.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80