Leccovs
Pergolettese
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 9/20/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lecco · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Lecco 0-0 Pergolettese, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Lecco 0-0 Pergolettese
Original prediction
Lecco
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.03 | 44.0% | 41.3% | -2.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.07 | 29.1% | 29.9% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 3.33 | 26.9% | 28.8% | 1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.07 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.7 pts
Projected Score
Lecco 0–0 Pergolettese
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Lecco
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
Lecco has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LeccoWWLLD
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
PergoletteseDWDLL
GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.20/0.60
BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
LeccoPergolettese
16.7Attack38.6
83.3Defence56.1
50.0Form39.5
53.0Power45.8
1.15xG0.82