GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 10/20/2024, 10:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Lecco are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Pergolettese are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 44.9 against 45.8. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.4% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

40.4%

Model confidence

40.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LeccoLLLWW

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
PergoletteseDLWLD

GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
LeccoPergolettese
31.6Attack38.6
58.8Defence56.1
37.7Form39.5
44.9Power45.8
0.89xG0.87
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