Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Padova · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Lecco are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Padova are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Padova hold a 19.9-point power-rating edge (44.9 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.9% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Padova holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Padova
Probability
48.9%
Model confidence
48.9%
Padova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40