Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Lecco are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Novara are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 44.9 against 45.4. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.8% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
41.8%
Model confidence
41.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00