Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Lecco are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Novara are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 44.9 against 45.4. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.8% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
41.8%
Model confidence
41.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60