Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Lecco are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Lumezzane are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Lumezzane hold a 5.9-point power-rating edge (44.9 v 50.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.4% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80