Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Lecco are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Inter U23 are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Inter U23 hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (44.9 v 49.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.6% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
43.6%
Model confidence
43.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80