Leccovs
Giana Erminio
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 9/13/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lecco · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Lecco 0-0 Giana Erminio, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Lecco 1-0 Giana Erminio
Original prediction
Lecco
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.93 | 46.9% | 36.7% | -10.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.04 | 29.8% | 30.6% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 3.88 | 23.3% | 32.8% | 9.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.93 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.2 pts
Projected Score
Lecco 0–0 Giana Erminio
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Lecco
Probability
36.7%
Model confidence
36.7%
Lecco has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LeccoLLDDL
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Giana ErminioLLLLD
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
LeccoGiana Erminio
0.0Attack40.4
66.7Defence61.4
0.0Form46.5
23.7Power50.7
0.93xG1.01