GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 9/28/2025, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Lecco are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Giana Erminio are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Giana Erminio hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (44.9 v 50.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.0% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

41.0%

Model confidence

41.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LeccoWWWWD

GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Giana ErminioLLDWD

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
LeccoGiana Erminio
31.6Attack40.4
58.8Defence61.4
37.7Form46.5
44.9Power50.7
0.77xG0.93
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