Leccovs
Folgore Caratese
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 10/25/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lecco · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Lecco 1-0 Folgore Caratese, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Lecco 2-2 Folgore Caratese
Original prediction
Lecco
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 1 October 2026 at 12:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.89 | 48.0% | 46.0% | -2.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.18 | 28.5% | 29.3% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 3.88 | 23.4% | 24.7% | 1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.18 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.0 pts
Projected Score
Lecco 1–0 Folgore Caratese
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Lecco
Probability
46.0%
Model confidence
46.0%
Lecco has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LeccoWDDLD
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Folgore CarateseLLLWD
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
LeccoFolgore Caratese
44.4Attack30.0
66.7Defence50.0
44.4Form20.0
51.3Power36.4
1.50xG0.54