LeccovsDesenzano Calvina

Lecco are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Desenzano Calvina are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Desenzano Calvina hold a 5.1-point power-rating edge (44.9 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.8% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.