Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lecco · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Lecco are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Clodiense are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (LWLD), averaging 0.75 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 9 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Lecco hold a 12.4-point power-rating edge (44.9 v 32.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.5% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Lecco holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lecco
Probability
46.5%
Model confidence
46.5%
Lecco has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.75/1.50