GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 4/4/2027, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Lecco are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Athletic Carpi are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Athletic Carpi hold a 5.1-point power-rating edge (44.9 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.8% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

38.8%

Model confidence

38.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LeccoLLLDW

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Athletic CarpiWWLWL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
LeccoAthletic Carpi
31.6Attack50.0
58.8Defence50.0
37.7Form50.0
44.9Power50.0
0.87xG1.01
View match centre →