Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Lecco are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Alcione are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Alcione hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (44.9 v 47.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.2% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
47.2%
Model confidence
47.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00