Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Lecco are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Alcione are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Alcione hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (44.9 v 47.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.2% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
47.2%
Model confidence
47.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40