Lecco U19vs
Sudtirol U19
COMPLETEDItaly · Campionato Primavera - 2 · 10/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lecco U19 · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (9%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lecco U19 2-2 Sudtirol U19
Original prediction
Lecco U19
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 17 September 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.99 | 45.1% | 36.7% | -8.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.53 | 25.4% | 26.9% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 3.04 | 29.5% | 36.4% | 6.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.53 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–19%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Lecco U19
Probability
36.7%
Model confidence
36.7%
Lecco U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20