Lecco U19vs
Renate U19
COMPLETEDItaly · Campionato Primavera - 2 · 9/19/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lecco U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lecco U19 1-4 Renate U19
Original prediction
Lecco U19
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.69 | 52.2% | 42.4% | -9.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 24.5% | 26.8% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 3.79 | 23.3% | 30.8% | 7.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Lecco U19
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
Lecco U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20