Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lecce U20 · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Lecce U20 are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Lazio U20 are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Lazio U20 hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (49.1 v 52.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.4% in the Campionato Primavera - 1, while Lecce U20 holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lecce U20
Probability
35.7%
Model confidence
14.4%
Lecce U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20