Leatherheadvs
Yeovil Town
COMPLETEDEngland · FA Cup · 10/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Leatherhead · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Leatherhead 3-3 Yeovil Town
Original prediction
Leatherhead
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 20:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.75 | 15.6% | 38.3% | 22.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.29 | 21.0% | 25.1% | 4.2 pts |
| Away | 1.42 | 63.4% | 36.6% | -26.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.29 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
22.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Leatherhead
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
38.3%
Leatherhead has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 18 · GA 2 · avg 3.60/0.40