Leandro N. AlemvsVictoriano Arenas

Leandro N. Alem are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Victoriano Arenas are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Victoriano Arenas hold a 10.3-point power-rating edge (43.1 v 53.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.8% in the Primera C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.