Leandro N. AlemvsPuerto Nuevo

Leandro N. Alem are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Puerto Nuevo are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Puerto Nuevo hold a 9.0-point power-rating edge (43.1 v 52.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 21.8% in the Primera C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.