Leandro N. Alemvs
Puerto Nuevo
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera C · 8/30/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Puerto Nuevo · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Leandro N. Alem 0-0 Puerto Nuevo, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Leandro N. Alem 0-3 Puerto Nuevo
Original prediction
Puerto Nuevo
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.77 | 32.4% | 28.4% | -4.0 pts |
| Draw | 2.88 | 31.2% | 31.3% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.47 | 36.4% | 40.3% | 3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.47 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.9 pts
Projected Score
Leandro N. Alem 0–0 Puerto Nuevo
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Puerto Nuevo
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
40.3%
Puerto Nuevo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00