Leandro N. Alemvs
Mercedes
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera C · 9/20/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mercedes · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Leandro N. Alem 0-0 Mercedes, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Leandro N. Alem 0-1 Mercedes
Original prediction
Mercedes
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.16 | 28.4% | 21.5% | -6.9 pts |
| Draw | 2.76 | 32.5% | 30.7% | -1.8 pts |
| Away | 2.29 | 39.1% | 47.8% | 8.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.29 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.7 pts
Projected Score
Leandro N. Alem 0–0 Mercedes
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Mercedes
Probability
47.8%
Model confidence
47.8%
Mercedes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Leandro N. AlemDLLLL
GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
MercedesDLLWL
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Leandro N. AlemMercedes
32.1Attack32.1
41.7Defence72.6
33.3Form44.0
37.8Power50.4
0.55xG1.07