Leandro N. Alemvs
Lugano
SCHEDULEDArgentina · Primera C · 8/22/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lugano · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Leandro N. Alem are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Lugano are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and lugano hold a 12.5-point power-rating edge (43.1 v 55.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely result in the Primera C, favouring Lugano with 16.9% confidence, a 36% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lugano
Probability
47.5%
Model confidence
16.9%
Lugano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60