Leamingtonvs
Needham Market
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern Central · 10/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Needham Market · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Leamington 1-2 Needham Market
Original prediction
Needham Market
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.78 | 32.1% | 33.8% | 1.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.47 | 25.8% | 22.3% | -3.5 pts |
| Away | 2.12 | 42.1% | 43.9% | 1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.12 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Needham Market
Probability
43.9%
Model confidence
43.9%
Needham Market has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
GF 16 · GA 6 · avg 3.20/1.20