GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern Central · 8/5/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Leamington · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Leamington are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 1.50 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Long Eaton United are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (DW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Leamington hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (29.5 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.1% in the Non League Premier - Southern Central, while Leamington holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Leamington

Probability

63.1%

Model confidence

63.1%

Leamington has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LeamingtonWL

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 1.50/2.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Long Eaton UnitedDW

GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
LeamingtonLong Eaton United
33.3Attack32.5
33.3Defence9.8
11.1Form17.9
29.5Power23.7
2.27xG0.95
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