Leamingtonvs
Hitchin Town
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern Central · 10/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Leamington · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Leamington 0-0 Hitchin Town, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Leamington 4-0 Hitchin Town
Original prediction
Leamington
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.99 | 45.1% | 40.4% | -4.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 26.3% | 28.6% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 3.13 | 28.6% | 31.1% | 2.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.99 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.8 pts
Projected Score
Leamington 0–0 Hitchin Town
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Leamington
Probability
40.4%
Model confidence
40.4%
Leamington has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20