Le Puy Footvs
Villefranche
COMPLETEDFrance · Ligue 3 · 9/19/2026, 12:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Le Puy Foot · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Le Puy Foot 1-0 Villefranche, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Le Puy Foot 4-1 Villefranche
Original prediction
Le Puy Foot
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 16:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.83 | 49.5% | 51.7% | 2.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 26.4% | 26.5% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 3.78 | 24.1% | 21.7% | -2.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.83 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.2 pts
Projected Score
Le Puy Foot 1–0 Villefranche
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Le Puy Foot
Probability
51.7%
Model confidence
51.7%
Le Puy Foot has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Le Puy FootLDLWL
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
VillefrancheDLLLW
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Le Puy FootVillefranche
27.8Attack27.8
66.7Defence27.8
38.9Form22.2
46.5Power28.5
1.44xG0.69